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Skip to main content. In particular, I like the over for the first half. Both of these defenses played much better after halftime during the regular season.

The Chiefs' offense ranked seventh in the first half of games and 15th in the second half. The 49ers were first in both halves. Overall, I would expect the offenses to come out with some scoring and then the defenses to adjust, so I'll take first-half total points OVER Walder: I like UNDER 4.

I've added a new model to handle this question and it feels strongly about the under, pricing it at I think it makes sense. Patrick Mahomes is elite at sack avoidance 3. Fulghum: I like the Chiefs to jump to an early lead due to the massive experience advantage at QB with Mahomes and Andy Reid's success building game plans with extra days of rest.

However, I don't think the 49ers will wilt. I think they've proved they can respond to adversity. That's right, the Chiefs have a first-quarter lead then the Niners claw back to tie it before Usher takes the stage for halftime.

Let's say the Chiefs are up after the first and we're tied at half. Tyler and I seem to be aligned on the game script across the board here, but I'll twist it a bit. Super Bowls have historically started very slowly, with a 1Q pregame total listed at 10 or I'd have taken the under there, but this time it's 9.

It's very possible that the 49ers see the ball only once in this span, so give me the chalky squares picks of , or Marks: Kansas City to score on its First Drive. has scored on its first drive in all three playoff games and its first two drives against the Ravens the best defense in the playoffs.

Andy Reid is great at scripting the first series. Mahomes has played in six indoor games and was held below 27 just once. Walder: This is an extension of my other game prop, but if you're looking for a longshot to root for I show a little value on no sacks in the game at My model -- which considers factors such as the quarterbacks' ability to avoid sacks, the quality of the pass rush, the quality of the offensive lines and how often the defenses blitz -- prices this prop at Pulsifer: Largest lead of game UNDER Our experienced tipsters have been finding value in betting for years.

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